By Jordan Morris
Territorial Evolution of Ukraine |
Life in Southern and Eastern
Ukraine has been recently characterized by rhetoric, uncertainty, and violence.
In the face of all of this tumult, the very idea of representation and
democracy that ousted Viktor Yanukovych in February of 2013 has been forgotten
by international politicians and media outlets. Most reports about the recent
annexation of the Crimean peninsula by the Russian Federation have been filled
with fear mongering about Putin’s ambition of reuniting the former Soviet
states rather than an in-depth exploration of what the people of the region
truly want. Despite the fact that Putin is accused of sending in security
forces with no insignia and what some would say holding elections ‘at gunpoint’
to forward the referendum that declared the regions wish to join Russia, it
appears there was no real local opposition to Russian presence in the first
place.
This is the question that has been
painfully absent from the focus of leaders and media; ‘Is life in eastern and
southern Ukraine generally better than it would be in if those regions were
Russia’? The evidence paints a statistical picture that suggests that the lives
of people in eastern Ukraine may be better in Russia, and maybe this suggests
the willingness of people to fight for Russian inclusion. As of 2012 Russia’s GNI per
capita was $12,700 compared to Ukraine’s $3,500. According to The World Bank, Russia also
experiences longer life expectancy and lower infant mortality rate in 2009 and
2010 respectively.
Statistics can be misleading but
they do serve a purpose. These numbers, combined with the willingness of the
people in eastern Ukrainian cities to put their lives at stake, portrays a
narrative that suggests the people desire Russian inclusion. Issues of state
sovereignty are always concerning, and the slippery slope fallacy about
Russia’s annexation and what that means for the rest of the world are not entirely
false because Putin is notorious for igniting Soviet sentiment, but in all of
this we miss a lot of what is really going on. We forget that people’s
livelihoods are at stake. Kofi Annan’s 'two sovereignties,' the idea that not
only states but individuals have sovereignty as well, is quickly becoming the
norm in international politics and these norms should apply to all people, no
matter who their loyalty lies with. In the upcoming elections it is unlikely
that eastern Ukraine will participate, let alone recognize the new president as
their leader.
It is true that Russia has significant
stake in eastern Ukraine with a significant military presence in Sevastopol
and the gas fields that line the eastern third of Ukraine. To examine the
true importance of this issue, the people, we must remove the political veil of
economic and military interests that Russia may have in the region. There are
still people living above those gas lines and around those military bases.
There is life beyond geopolitical conflict in eastern and southern Ukraine. The
people there similar to people everywhere who want what they would consider to
be the best possible life.
Finally, consider this. Russia’s
geopolitical and economic enterprise, the Eurasian Economic Union (EEU), only
has two other members in it, Belarus
and Kazakhstan. This union is no different than NAFTA, the TPP, NATO or the
EU in its aims, but still is held under suspicion by the West as being an
appendage of Russian expansionism. Even though it is claimed that Russia is
exerting unfair influence over eastern Ukraine, and will ‘take a mile if they
are given an inch,’ the leaders of Kazakhstan and Belarus are vocal about their wish to let the
EEU develop at an agreeable pace, with assurance that all policies made within it are
mutually respected and beneficial.
We cannot say whether life will be
better as part of Russia or Ukraine for those who live in the conflict zone,
but it is safe to suggest life will largely remain the same, if not improve. If
it is the will of the people to join Russia, the state they ethnically identify
with, let them.
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